Generated 2026-06-29
Vendor risk report · 2026-06-29
DeepSeek
ai-chat · DeepSeek · founded 2023
Nerf Index
19
clean
Executive Summary
2 receipts logged, none critical.
Primary use case: Open-weight reasoning model API.
Risk Profile
2
Total receipts
0
Critical
0
Major
1
Last 90 days
20
Peak nerf score
minor
Avg severity
~75d
Cadence
n/a
Funding stage
12-Month Forecast
49%
Next 30 days
74%
Next 60 days
87%
Next 90 days
Most likely change kind: model-swap · Expected severity: minor
Observed 2 receipts over 75 days (cadence ~38d). Last receipt 66 days ago. Most common kind: model-swap.
Receipts (chronological)
- 2026-04-24 · minor · nerf 20 · model-swapDeepSeek ships V4 and sets a hard Jul-24 retirement for the deepseek-chat / deepseek-reasoner model namesOn April 24, 2026 DeepSeek launched V4 - deepseek-v4-flash and deepseek-v4-pro, with 1M-token context as the new default and open weights under MIT - and announced that the legacy deepseek-chat and deepseek-reasoner model names will be fully retired and inaccessible after July 24, 2026 15:59 UTC. After that cutoff, calls using the old names error with no grace period. Migration is a one-line model-name change and pricing actually improves for most callers, so this is an upgrade with a deprecation deadline rather than a downgrade - the watch item is anything still pinned to the old names.Predicted impact: 15-30% of paid users · ~$2-$18 per user
- 2026-02-08 · minor · nerf 16 · price-increaseDeepSeek V3 API output token price doubles after launch promotion endsDeepSeek's V3 API launched with promotional pricing of $0.28/M output tokens. Two months later that doubled to $0.55/M with one week's notice. Still cheap relative to GPT/Claude, but doubled is doubled.Predicted impact: 24-30% of paid users · ~$2-$18 per user
Recommendations
- Low risk. Vendor has demonstrated stable behavior over the observed period.
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gotnerfed.com/feed.xmlor via Slack/Discord/Teams webhooks (paid tier). - Methodology: full scoring rubric at
gotnerfed.com/methodology.