SCANNING● LIVE DATAUTC 2026-06-29 00:00:00
VENDORS 23RECEIPTS 32CRITICAL 57D 0 NEWv0.9.4-rc1
gotnerfedgotnerfed
Filed by gotnerfed.comCase #GC-2021-970Classification ON WATCH-trackOpened 2025-04-04Last scanned 2026-06-29 01:00 UTCACTIVE
AI CODING/GitHub/founded 2021/part of Microsoft

GitHub Copilot

IDE code completion + chat

1 major change on record.

On watch25-49 · minor-to-major changes in the last 12 months; staying observant.
Ranked #4 of 23 tracked vendors.
Receipt trail
2 filed · latest 28d ago
◆ At a glanceAll time · since 2025-04-04
28days
Since last receipt
GitHub Copilot moves to usage-based… · major
2
Receipts
all time
0
Critical
1
Major
billing model shift
1
Last 90d
watching
47
Peak nerf
Jun 1 · billing model shift
~423d
Cadence
avg between receipts
Verdict: On watch
Receipt trail
2 filed
Methodology ↗
◆ 30 / 60 / 90 forecast
likely next: billing model shift · expected severity minor
Next 30d15%
prob of any change
Next 60d28%
prob of any change
Next 90d39%
prob of any change
Observed 2 receipts over 423 days (cadence ~212d). Last receipt 28 days ago. Most common kind: billing-model-shift. Brier-scored against subsequent reality on the public leaderboard.
Vendor average11%Category avg8%Brier · last 90d0.18Modelv0 heuristic
◆ Nerf Index · trailing 12 months +30 vs. 90 days ago · now 30
JunAugOctDecFebAprJun
Recency-weighted Nerf Index, 30-day rolling. Dots mark receipts. Index breached “on watch” threshold on 2026-06-01 at the defining receipt.
◆ Community sentimentReddit · last 90d

Community sentiment

No sentiment data yet. Reddit posts about GitHub Copilot are scored by Claude Haiku 4.5 on first render and cached daily - the next page load will populate this card. Requires ANTHROPIC_API_KEY + Vercel KV.

Net = (positive − negative) / total Reddit posts mentioning GitHub Copilot in the trailing 7 days. Updated daily. Read methodology →
Receipts · all time · reverse chronological

Every silent change GitHub Copilot made.

2 receipts · 0 critical · 1 major · 0 minor
1 MORE RECEIPT HIDDEN · LAST 12 MONTHS

You’re seeing the last 30 days. Personal sees the last year.

Free tier shows the most recent 30 days of receipts per vendor. Personal ($9/mo) unlocks the full 1-year diff history - plus a 3-vendor watchlist, real-time alerts on every severity, migration playbooks, and Slack/Discord/Teams webhooks.

◆ Escape pod · if you're leaving

Free & open-source alternatives to GitHub Copilot.

See full migration playbook ->
◆ ESCAPE POD · FREE / OPEN-SOURCE ALTERNATIVES
5 ranked alternatives to GitHub Copilot.
  • OpenCode FREE / OSSMIT120k
    Open-source Claude Code / Cursor replacement that lives in the terminal. Pick when you want zero vendor lock-in and any LLM backend.
    Terminal-native TUI coding agent (vim-like)Build/Plan mode toggle, session managementProvider-agnostic: Claude/OpenAI/Google/localGitHub app for issues + PRs
    install: curl -fsSL https://opencode.ai/install | bash (or npm i -g opencode-ai@latest)
    caveat: BYO API key (or local model). No GUI editor - it is a terminal TUI.
  • aider FREE / OSSApache-2.028k
    Best Cursor replacement for terminal-comfortable devs who want auditable git history of every edit.
    CLI-first, terminal-nativeGit-aware: auto-commits, branches, diffsWorks with any LLM provider (BYO API key)Strong repo-map context
    install: pip install aider-chat
    caveat: BYO API key (Anthropic/OpenAI/local). No GUI.
  • Cline FREE / OSSApache-2.024k
    Direct Cursor/Claude-Code clone inside VSCode. Best for devs already living in VSCode.
    VSCode extension, native UXPlan/Act mode toggleBuilt-in MCP supportPermission-based file ops
    install: VSCode marketplace: 'Cline'
    caveat: BYO API key. Permission prompts can feel noisy.
  • Tabby FREE / OSSApache-2.024k
    When you need 100% on-prem code completion. No data leaves your machine.
    Self-hosted, runs on your GPUOpenAPI-compatibleTeam collab features
    install: Docker image or Homebrew
    caveat: Requires GPU for decent latency. Setup is non-trivial.
  • Continue.dev FREE / OSSApache-2.021k
    Best when you want local LLMs (via Ollama) and care about privacy. Strong autocomplete.
    VSCode + JetBrains supportLocal-model friendly (Ollama integration)Custom slash commandsTab autocomplete + chat
    install: VSCode/JetBrains marketplace: 'Continue'
    caveat: Tab autocomplete needs a fast local model or hosted API.
List manually curated · last reviewed 2026-05-13Full picker