✓Filed by gotnerfed.comCase #GC-2021-970Classification ON WATCH-trackOpened 2025-04-04Last scanned 2026-08-13 04:00 UTCACTIVE
GitHub Copilot
IDE code completion + chat
1 major change on record.
► On watch25-49 · minor-to-major changes in the last 12 months; staying observant.
Ranked #5 of 23 tracked vendors.
Ranked #5 of 23 tracked vendors.
Receipt trail
2 filed · latest 73d ago
◆ At a glance
73days
Since last receipt
GitHub Copilot moves to usage-based… · major
2
Receipts
all time
0
Critical
—
1
Major
billing model shift
1
Last 90d
watching
47
Peak nerf
Jun 1 · billing model shift
~423d
Cadence
avg between receipts
↗ Current pricing pageHow the index is calculatedEmbed badgeProcurement report (PDF)Compare to peers
◆ 30 / 60 / 90 forecast →
Next 30d11%
prob of any change
Next 60d21%
prob of any change
Next 90d30%
prob of any change
Observed 2 receipts over 423 days (cadence ~212d). Last receipt 73 days ago. Most common kind: billing-model-shift. Brier-scored against subsequent reality on the public leaderboard.
Vendor average8%Category avg6%Brier · last 90d0.18Modelv0 heuristic
◆ Nerf Index · trailing 12 months
AugOctDecFebAprJunAug
Recency-weighted Nerf Index, 30-day rolling. Dots mark receipts. Index breached “on watch” threshold on 2026-06-01 at the defining receipt.
◆ Community sentiment
Community sentiment
No sentiment data yet. Reddit posts about GitHub Copilot are scored by Claude Haiku 4.5 on first render and cached daily - the next page load will populate this card. Requires ANTHROPIC_API_KEY + Vercel KV.
Net = (positive − negative) / total Reddit posts mentioning GitHub Copilot in the trailing 7 days. Updated daily. Read methodology →
Receipts · all time · reverse chronological
2 receipts · 0 critical · 1 major · 0 minorEvery silent change GitHub Copilot made.
SeverityKindSort
2 MORE RECEIPTS HIDDEN · LAST 12 MONTHS
You’re seeing the last 30 days. Personal sees the last year.
Free tier shows the most recent 30 days of receipts per vendor. Personal ($9/mo) unlocks the full 1-year diff history - plus a 3-vendor watchlist, real-time alerts on every severity, migration playbooks, and Slack/Discord/Teams webhooks.
◆ Escape pod · if you're leaving
See full migration playbook ->